Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 62.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Goodrow
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Goodrow
Aho
Last 7: Goodrow 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
48.5% (778)
-1.7%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
63.4% (191)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
50.8% (65)
-8.1%
On power play, Aho has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Aho
Home
44.3% (314)
51.3% (530)
Away
47.7% (279)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Goodrow
Aho
P1
46.8%
50.0%
P2
44.0%
51.3%
P3
47.1%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |