Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 66.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 69.0%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Goodrow
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Goodrow
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
54.5% (870)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
62.4% (266)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
37.1% (62)
-6.7%
On power play, Aho has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Aho
Home
40.0% (130)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.9% (122)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Goodrow
Aho
P1
48.8%
54.1%
P2
35.0%
55.0%
P3
44.8%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |