Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.1%). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 80.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 53.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Goodrow
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Goodrow
Aho
Last 7: Goodrow 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Goodrow
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
51.2% (785)
+4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
63.8% (213)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
57.9% (57)
-13.3%
On power play, Aho has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Aho
Home
57.2% (332)
54.9% (548)
Away
50.3% (292)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Goodrow
Aho
P1
50.8%
52.8%
P2
59.5%
58.9%
P3
51.8%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |