Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 76.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.8%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Goodrow
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Goodrow
Aho
Last 10: Goodrow 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Goodrow
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
4
1
Goodrow
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
51.6% (819)
-2.3%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
58.4% (173)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
46.3% (67)
-0.1%
On power play, Goodrow has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Aho
Home
50.6% (385)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.0% (356)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Goodrow
Aho
P1
49.1%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
51.2%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |