Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Larkin 55.0% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Hayton
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
55.9% (943)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
57.4% (244)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
46.2% (106)
-3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Hayton
Larkin
Home
47.4% (171)
56.0% (654)
Away
51.4% (247)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Hayton
Larkin
P1
49.6%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
49.0%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%