Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Tavares 59.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Hayton
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
60.9% (1,043)
-12.8%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
60.4% (278)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
47.6% (21)
-4.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Hayton
Tavares
Home
48.8% (424)
63.5% (684)
Away
47.5% (438)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Hayton
Tavares
P1
52.9%
60.3%
P2
47.3%
60.4%
P3
44.1%
60.1%
OT
70.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |