Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 67.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 66.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 67.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Hayton
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Hayton
Tavares
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Hayton
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Hayton
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hayton
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
57.7% (998)
-5.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
60.5% (271)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
56.4% (39)
-3.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Hayton
Tavares
Home
53.9% (516)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.4% (504)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Hayton
Tavares
P1
55.1%
57.2%
P2
55.0%
58.5%
P3
51.7%
59.4%
OT
69.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |