Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Tavares 57.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hayton
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
58.0% (914)
-5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
57.0% (235)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
57.9% (19)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Hayton
Tavares
Home
56.9% (432)
57.8% (614)
Away
47.4% (344)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Hayton
Tavares
P1
53.1%
58.0%
P2
50.3%
56.9%
P3
55.4%
58.4%
OT
25.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |