Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Staal 56.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 64.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Staal
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hayton
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hayton
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
58.9% (1,041)
-10.8%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
53.4% (73)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
49.1% (171)
-5.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
48.8% (424)
59.0% (578)
Away
47.5% (438)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
52.9%
57.1%
P2
47.3%
60.9%
P3
44.1%
55.8%
OT
70.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |