Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Staal 57.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 72.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hayton
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hayton
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Hayton
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
58.9% (1,096)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
68.4% (57)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
51.8% (222)
-9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
47.4% (171)
57.0% (646)
Away
51.4% (247)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
49.6%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
49.0%
62.0%
OT
75.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |