Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.5%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Staal 54.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 71.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Hayton
Staal
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Hayton
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hayton
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
57.0% (1,017)
-4.4%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
57.7% (26)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
45.1% (286)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
53.9% (516)
54.3% (667)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
55.1%
56.2%
P2
55.0%
57.0%
P3
51.7%
49.7%
OT
69.2%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |