Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 66.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Staal
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hayton
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
56.3% (1,115)
-5.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
61.2% (67)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
52.1% (292)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
54.6% (639)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
50.9%
54.5%
P2
52.7%
58.2%
P3
49.9%
54.1%
OT
41.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |