Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Norris 51.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 81.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 67.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Hayton
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hayton
Norris
Last 5: Hayton 0-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Hayton
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Hayton
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
51.2% (886)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
59.0% (83)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
38.8% (67)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Hayton
Norris
Home
48.8% (424)
55.6% (487)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Hayton
Norris
P1
52.9%
54.8%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
44.1%
48.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |