Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.1%). Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Norris 52.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 60.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Hayton
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Hayton
Norris
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Hayton
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Norris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
4
Hayton
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
52.5% (3,057)
-1.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
53.7% (404)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.4% (240)
-0.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Hayton
Norris
Home
52.9% (2,268)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Hayton
Norris
P1
52.0%
55.6%
P2
51.4%
51.4%
P3
49.9%
50.1%
OT
58.1%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |