Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.8%). Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Norris 53.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Hayton
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Hayton
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
53.6% (560)
-1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
56.0% (109)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
53.1% (98)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Hayton
Norris
Home
53.9% (516)
53.6% (373)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Hayton
Norris
P1
55.1%
61.8%
P2
55.0%
51.7%
P3
51.7%
49.8%
OT
69.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |