Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Norris 49.7% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Norris 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hayton
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
50.0% (356)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
48.7% (76)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
42.9% (7)
-6.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Hayton
Norris
Home
56.9% (432)
47.2% (193)
Away
47.4% (344)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Hayton
Norris
P1
53.1%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
48.2%
P3
55.4%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%