Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Kolesar 48.4% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 80.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 68.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Hayton
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
41.7% (24)
+10.8%
On even strength, Hayton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Kolesar is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kolesar
Home
56.9% (432)
35.7% (14)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Hayton
Kolesar
P1
53.1%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
28.6%
P3
55.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |