Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Kolesar 48.7% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 53.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 66.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Hayton
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
41.7% (12)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
33.3% (3)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Kolesar is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kolesar
Home
47.4% (171)
40.0% (5)
Away
51.4% (247)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Hayton
Kolesar
P1
49.6%
33.3%
P2
50.0%
33.3%
P3
49.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.0%