Barrett Hayton vs Keegan Kolesar
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kolesar 43.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 92.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 88.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Hayton
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hayton
Kolesar
Last 7: Hayton 6-1 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Kolesar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Kolesar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
41.9% (382)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
50.0% (6)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
35.3% (17)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Kolesar is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kolesar
Home
52.9% (2,268)
38.2% (191)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
44.9% (214)
By Period
Hayton
Kolesar
P1
52.0%
42.1%
P2
51.4%
43.2%
P3
49.9%
39.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |