Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Kolesar 46.8% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 82.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 73.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Hayton
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
30.4% (23)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
100.0% (1)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, Kolesar has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Kolesar is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kolesar
Home
54.6% (639)
33.3% (18)
Away
47.2% (591)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Hayton
Kolesar
P1
50.9%
12.5%
P2
52.7%
57.1%
P3
49.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
80.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |