Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Frost 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 64.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Hayton
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
48.6% (704)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
55.7% (115)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
25.0% (4)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Hayton
Frost
Home
47.4% (171)
49.9% (399)
Away
51.4% (247)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Hayton
Frost
P1
49.6%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
53.9%
P3
49.0%
42.7%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |