Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 29.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 50.0% vs Roy 46.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 58.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Roy
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Hayton
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Hayton
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (58)
41.5% (275)
+10.2%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
81.8% (11)
-36.3%
On power play, Roy has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 29.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
48.0% (50)
46.1% (167)
Away
53.3% (30)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
48.4%
46.7%
P2
56.3%
38.5%
P3
41.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
50.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |