Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Roy 47.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayton
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Hayton
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Hayton
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
47.5% (617)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
39.6% (53)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
46.4% (97)
-4.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
47.4% (171)
47.2% (398)
Away
51.4% (247)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
49.6%
48.6%
P2
50.0%
48.8%
P3
49.0%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |