Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Roy 48.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hayton
Roy
Last 8: Hayton 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Hayton
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.5% (746)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
50.7% (75)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
42.7% (110)
+0.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
48.8% (424)
47.7% (491)
Away
47.5% (438)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
52.9%
51.1%
P2
47.3%
44.6%
P3
44.1%
50.9%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |