Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 69.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Hayton
Roy
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hayton
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
8
Hayton
Roy
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
7
3
Hayton
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
49.5% (283)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.5% (477)
-0.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
52.9% (2,268)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
52.0%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
49.9%
48.1%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |