Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Roy 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 78.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 64.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Roy
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
48.3% (633)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
52.1% (48)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
43.7% (87)
+1.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
54.6% (639)
50.8% (376)
Away
47.2% (591)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
52.7%
43.5%
P3
49.9%
46.4%
OT
41.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |