Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Cates 45.8% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hayton
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
44.3% (271)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
77.8% (18)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
31.7% (41)
+10.7%
On power play, Cates has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Hayton
Cates
Home
47.4% (171)
52.0% (148)
Away
51.4% (247)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Hayton
Cates
P1
49.6%
42.7%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
49.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%