Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Cates 45.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 95.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 82.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Hayton
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Hayton
Cates
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
7
1
Hayton
Cates
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Hayton
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
1
Hayton
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
46.7% (912)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
33.9% (56)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
35.0% (137)
+18.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Hayton
Cates
Home
53.9% (516)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.4% (504)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Hayton
Cates
P1
55.1%
48.0%
P2
55.0%
42.3%
P3
51.7%
44.3%
OT
69.2%
31.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |