Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Donato 46.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 62.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
44.4% (180)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
43.2% (37)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
40.0% (5)
+2.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
47.4% (171)
45.4% (97)
Away
51.4% (247)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
49.6%
36.2%
P2
50.0%
48.6%
P3
49.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |