Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Donato 45.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Donato
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
43.5% (400)
+9.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
48.7% (119)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
33.3% (6)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
53.9% (516)
50.2% (279)
Away
54.4% (504)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
55.1%
44.6%
P2
55.0%
46.6%
P3
51.7%
42.0%
OT
69.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | OT | 01:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |