Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Donato 44.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 81.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Hayton
Donato
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
4
Hayton
Donato
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
44.2% (1,179)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
46.3% (246)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
36.4% (11)
+8.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
52.9% (2,268)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
52.0%
43.4%
P2
51.4%
45.1%
P3
49.9%
44.4%
OT
58.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OT | 01:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |