Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Donato 48.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 58.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 80.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 79.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Donato
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
48.1% (258)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
43.2% (37)
+13.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
56.9% (432)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
53.1%
48.1%
P2
50.3%
46.6%
P3
55.4%
46.8%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |