Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 81.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 67.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Hayton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Hayton
Hartman
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Hayton
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
44.8% (936)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
49.4% (154)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
33.3% (54)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hartman
Home
48.8% (424)
47.4% (568)
Away
47.5% (438)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Hayton
Hartman
P1
52.9%
47.2%
P2
47.3%
43.4%
P3
44.1%
43.8%
OT
70.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
48.1%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |