Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Hartman 47.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Hayton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hayton
Hartman
Last 8: Hayton 4-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Hayton
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
47.1% (649)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
47.1% (68)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
45.2% (73)
-2.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hartman
Home
47.4% (171)
46.5% (361)
Away
51.4% (247)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Hayton
Hartman
P1
49.6%
45.1%
P2
50.0%
44.4%
P3
49.0%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |