Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Hartman 45.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Hayton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Hayton
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Hayton
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Hayton
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Hayton
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
44.8% (830)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
47.8% (92)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
37.5% (16)
-0.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hartman
Home
56.9% (432)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.4% (344)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Hayton
Hartman
P1
53.1%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
39.9%
P3
55.4%
48.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |