Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Hartman 48.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 82.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 70.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Hayton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Hartman
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Hayton
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
48.1% (520)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
44.7% (47)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
47.8% (23)
+5.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hartman
Home
53.9% (516)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Hayton
Hartman
P1
55.1%
48.5%
P2
55.0%
45.2%
P3
51.7%
49.6%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |