Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Hayton
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Hayton
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Hayton
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
56.2% (983)
-3.6%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
55.5% (254)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
52.0% (102)
+1.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Hayton
O'Reilly
Home
53.9% (516)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.4% (504)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Hayton
O'Reilly
P1
55.1%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
55.5%
P3
51.7%
57.1%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |