Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Hayton
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayton
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
52.4% (42)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
56.9% (432)
47.8% (23)
Away
47.4% (344)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
53.1%
53.3%
P2
50.3%
55.6%
P3
55.4%
47.1%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |