Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 72.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.7%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hayton
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
40.9% (232)
+7.2%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
100.0% (1)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
40.0% (30)
+3.4%
On power play, Lafferty has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
48.8% (424)
38.2% (123)
Away
47.5% (438)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
52.9%
41.6%
P2
47.3%
36.7%
P3
44.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |