Barrett Hayton vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 72.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 72.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Hayton
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayton
Karlsson
Last 7: Hayton 2-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Hayton
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
55.3% (897)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
61.1% (113)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
50.8% (132)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Hayton
Karlsson
Home
54.6% (639)
58.6% (560)
Away
47.2% (591)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Hayton
Karlsson
P1
50.9%
55.8%
P2
52.7%
55.6%
P3
49.9%
55.7%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |