Barrett Hayton vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Hayton
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
58.5% (135)
-6.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
80.0% (5)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
44.4% (18)
-7.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Hayton
Karlsson
Home
56.9% (432)
63.7% (91)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Hayton
Karlsson
P1
53.1%
54.4%
P2
50.3%
66.7%
P3
55.4%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%