Barrett Hayton vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 63.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Hayton
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Hayton
Karlsson
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
3
Hayton
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Hayton
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Hayton
Karlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
54.8% (1,048)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
44.2% (1,109)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Hayton
Karlsson
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Hayton
Karlsson
P1
52.0%
50.3%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
49.9%
52.4%
OT
58.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |