Barrett Hayton vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Hayton
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayton
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Hayton
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
58.6% (597)
-6.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
57.9% (57)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
51.9% (52)
+1.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Hayton
Karlsson
Home
53.9% (516)
59.6% (344)
Away
54.4% (504)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Hayton
Karlsson
P1
55.1%
53.1%
P2
55.0%
62.1%
P3
51.7%
60.1%
OT
69.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |