Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.3%
Defensive zone
Coleman 59.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Coleman
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
53.9% (193)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.2% (65)
+0.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
39.1% (23)
54.9% (113)
Away
57.9% (19)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
47.1%
54.9%
P2
58.8%
52.7%
P3
25.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%