Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Duchene 52.1% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.5%
Neutral zone
Coleman 52.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Coleman
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
53.0% (723)
-3.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
49.5% (101)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
43.8% (16)
+2.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
46.5% (43)
54.9% (408)
Away
50.0% (36)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
56.0%
52.5%
P2
41.2%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%