Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 50.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Coleman
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
56.5% (566)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.3% (62)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
22.2% (9)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
41.0% (39)
56.6% (318)
Away
50.0% (30)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
33.3%
57.2%
P2
52.6%
55.1%
P3
52.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
35.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%