Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs Duchene 51.6% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 61.5%
Neutral zone
Coleman 51.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Coleman
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
51.2% (324)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
50.0% (12)
51.6% (182)
Away
33.3% (18)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
46.2%
49.6%
P2
40.0%
56.2%
P3
28.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%