Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 83.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Coleman
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
49.2% (778)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
44.0% (234)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coleman is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Coleman shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Coleman
Dowd
Home
41.0% (39)
46.3% (492)
Away
50.0% (30)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Coleman
Dowd
P1
33.3%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
48.2%
P3
52.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%