Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Dowd 49.9% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 81.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Coleman
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
52.2% (835)
-2.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
60.0% (10)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.0% (350)
+2.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coleman is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Coleman shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Coleman
Dowd
Home
46.5% (43)
51.5% (619)
Away
50.0% (36)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Coleman
Dowd
P1
56.0%
51.7%
P2
41.2%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%