Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 48.8% vs Dowd 49.5% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 66.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Coleman
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (18)
53.4% (485)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
39.8% (186)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coleman is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Coleman shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Coleman
Dowd
Home
54.5% (11)
48.5% (307)
Away
37.5% (16)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Coleman
Dowd
P1
54.5%
50.7%
P2
44.4%
49.1%
P3
28.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
44.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%