Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs Dowd 49.1% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Coleman
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
51.7% (644)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
41.6% (221)
+8.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Coleman
Dowd
Home
50.0% (12)
48.6% (451)
Away
33.3% (18)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Coleman
Dowd
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
40.0%
47.3%
P3
28.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%